[Year 12 SofDev] broadband mobile internet

[stephen at melbpc.org.au]

Base Station Technology Forecast 2008 - 2012
 
 <http://www.3g.co.uk/PR/April2008/5940.htm>
  
3rd April , 2008 

Europe : Within a few years, a fully broadband mobile internet will be 
taken for granted by users in many parts of the world, and operators are 
already gearing up to put the networks in place to support this. 

Whether they are traditional mobile carriers or providers entering the 
wireless world from other sectors, most are focusing their efforts on two 
new technologies, Mobile WiMAX and LTE. 

Existing cellcos will look to implement these in parallel with extending 
systems using HSPA+ or EV-DO Rev A/B. Wireline operators will often be 
using mobile broadband to complement a fiber , DSL or cable model. 

All this will lead to an explosion of investment in the key next 
generation wireless networks from this year until 2012, when mobile 
broadband will be mainstream in developed economies. 

The latest report from Rethink Technology Research provides forecasts of 
the dollars that will be invested in base stations and RAN infrastructure 
for WiMAX, LTE and HSPA+ during this period, based on surveys of 500 
operators with firm intentions to purchase one or more new technologies 
before 2012.

Based on their input, key trends emerge. Mobile broadband systems based on 
the key technologies will generate RAN investment of $16.2 billion by 
2012, almost one-third of the total spend on cellular base stations and 
infrastructure. Within this, LTE will overtake Mobile WiMAX around 2011.

The new wireless landscape will not just be formed by new technologies, 
however. Operators have learned the risks of deploying high cost networks 
without proven return on investment, from the 3G experience in regions 
such as western Europe. 

This time, they are demanding networks with lower cost of ownership and 
cost of delivery, and are looking to new base station formats to help 
achieve this, and support more flexible business models. 

Important developments, which will have a major impact on operator 
spending patterns by 2012, include the emergence of picocells and 
femtocells, which will account for almost 25% of investment by the end of 
2012. 

Other key trends will be the increasing uptake of flat network designs, 
remote radio heads, flexible or software defined base stations, and 
standardized board level architectures like ATCA. 

Rethink Research’s latest report, “Taking the internet to the handset: 
Base Station Technology Forecast 2008-2012”, provides detailed forecasts 
of the impact of these new developments, and the dollar investments they 
represent, based on the most comprehensive survey of operator spending 
intentions available today.
==

Cheers people
Stephen Loosley
Victoria, Australia
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